Brazilian Journal of Anesthesiology
https://bjan-sba.org/article/doi/10.1016/j.bjane.2018.04.009
Brazilian Journal of Anesthesiology
Scientific Article

Predictors of in-hospital mortality in patients undergoing elective surgery in a university hospital: a prospective cohort

Preditores de mortalidade intra-hospitalar em pacientes submetidos a cirurgias não eletivas em um hospital universitário: uma coorte prospectiva

Adriene Stahlschmidt; Betânia Novelo; Luiza Alexi Freitas; Sávio Cavalcante Passos; Jairo Alberto Dussán-Sarria; Elaine Aparecida Félix; Patrícia Wajnberg Gamermann; Wolnei Caumo; Luciana Paula Cadore Stefani

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Abstract

Abstract Introduction Morbidity and mortality associated with urgent or emergency surgeries are high compared to elective procedures. Perioperative risk scores identify the non-elective character as an independent factor of complications and death. The present study aims to characterize the population undergoing non-elective surgeries at the Hospital de Clínicas de Porto Alegre and identify the clinical and surgical factors associated with death within 30 days postoperatively. Methodology A prospective cohort study of 187 patients undergoing elective surgeries between April and May 2014 at the Hospital de Clínicas, Porto Alegre. Patient-related data, pre-operative risk situations, and surgical information were evaluated. Death in 30 days was the primary outcome measured. Results The mean age of the sample was 48.5 years, and 84.4% of the subjects had comorbidities. The primary endpoint was observed in 14.4% of the cases, with exploratory laparotomy being the procedure with the highest mortality (47.7%). After multivariate logistic regression, age (odds ratio [OR] 1.0360, p < 0.05), anemia (OR 3.961, p < 0.05), acute or chronic renal insufficiency (OR 6.075, p < 0.05), sepsis (OR 7.027, p < 0.05), and patient-related risk factors for mortality, in addition to the large surgery category (OR 7.502, p < 0.05) were identified. Conclusion The high mortality rate found may reflect the high complexity of the institution's patients. Knowing the profile of the patients assisted helps in the definition of management priorities, suggesting the need to create specific care lines for groups identified as high risk in order to reduce perioperative complications and deaths.

Keywords

Perioperative care, Non-elective surgeries, Postoperative complications, Hospital mortality

Resumo

Resumo Introdução Quando comparada a procedimentos eletivos, a morbimortalidade associada às cirurgias de urgência ou emergência é alta. Escores de risco perioperatório identificam o caráter não eletivo como fator independente de complicações e morte. O presente estudo objetiva caracterizar a população submetida a cirurgias não eletivas no Hospital de Clínicas de Porto Alegre e identificar fatores clínicos e cirúrgicos associados à morte em 30 dias no pós-operatório. Metodologia Coorte prospectiva de 187 pacientes submetidos a cirurgias não eletivas entre abril e maio de 2014 no Hospital de Clínicas de Porto Alegre. Avaliaram-se dados relacionados ao paciente, situações de risco pré-operatórias e informações do âmbito cirúrgico. Mensurou-se óbito em 30 dias como desfecho primário. Resultados A média de idade da amostra foi 48,5 anos; 84,4% dos indivíduos apresentavam comorbidades. O desfecho primário foi observado em 14,4% dos casos, laparotomia exploradora foi o procedimento com maior mortalidade (47,7%). Após regressão logística multivariada, identificaram-se idade (odds ratio [OR] 1.0360, p < 0,05), anemia (OR 3.961, p < 0,05), insuficiência renal aguda ou crônica agudizada (OR 6.075, p < 0,05) e sepse (OR 7.027, p < 0,05) como os fatores de risco relacionados ao paciente significativos para mortalidade, além da categoria cirurgia de grande porte (OR 7.502, p < 0,05). Conclusão A elevada taxa de mortalidade encontrada pode refletir a alta complexidade dos pacientes da instituição. O conhecimento do perfil dos pacientes atendidos auxilia na definição de prioridades de gerenciamento, sugere a necessidade de criação de linhas de cuidado específicas para grupos identificados como de alto risco, a fim de reduzir complicações e óbitos no perioperatório.

Palavras-chave

Cuidado perioperatório, Cirurgias não eletivas, Complicações pós-operatórias, Mortalidade hospitalar

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